Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh) (2024)

Tahsin, N., & Murshed, S. B. (2023). Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh). In H. Chenchouni, H. I. Chaminé, Z. Zhang, N. Khelifi, A. Ciner, I. Ali, & M. Chen (Eds.), Recent Research on Hydrogeology, Geoecology and Atmospheric Sciences - Proceedings of the 1st MedGU, Istanbul 2021 Volume 1 (pp. 265-267). (Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-43169-2_56

@inproceedings{347da03e4d9a41d8a890ad0eb0c2b482,

title = "Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh)",

abstract = "Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, is considered the most vulnerable megacity to climate change in Asia. Water security is an existing challenge that will likely be exacerbated by climate change. Hence, it is necessary to understand the climate stressors and how they will affect water security to ensure proper water management in the future. In this study, we considered assessing the city{\textquoteright}s future scenarios for 2021 to 2100. We identified the climatic indicators that significantly impacted water security and projected them for RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 to determine future climatic stress on water security for moderate and extreme climate change. First, statistical assessments were conducted to understand their impact on the city{\textquoteright}s future of water security. Later, unbiased, standardized scoring was done to determine whether any significant difference could be estimated for the overall difference in the climate change scenarios. Our analysis found that although most of the indicators demonstrated higher risks in the future for RCP 8.5, the scores were not significantly different for the two scenarios. Overall, in both scenarios, Dhaka is shown to have a significant threat of water insecurity due to climatic stress. With each passing time, climate change will potentially pose more substantial negative impacts on the city{\textquoteright}s water security. The insight provided by this study is essential and must be considered for the future water management of the city to ensure its livability and continued progress.",

keywords = "Climate change, Climate stressors, Dhaka, RCPs, Water security",

author = "Nazwa Tahsin and Murshed, {Sonia Binte}",

year = "2023",

month = nov,

day = "19",

doi = "10.1007/978-3-031-43169-2_56",

language = "English",

isbn = "9783031431685",

series = "Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation",

publisher = "Springer",

pages = "265--267",

editor = "Haroun Chenchouni and Chamin{\'e}, {Helder I.} and Zhihua Zhang and Nabil Khelifi and Attila Ciner and Imran Ali and Mingjie Chen",

booktitle = "Recent Research on Hydrogeology, Geoecology and Atmospheric Sciences - Proceedings of the 1st MedGU, Istanbul 2021 Volume 1",

address = "Germany",

note = "1st International conference on Mediterranean Geosciences Union, MedGU 2021 ; Conference date: 25-11-2021 Through 28-11-2021",

}

Tahsin, N & Murshed, SB 2023, Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh). in H Chenchouni, HI Chaminé, Z Zhang, N Khelifi, A Ciner, I Ali & M Chen (eds), Recent Research on Hydrogeology, Geoecology and Atmospheric Sciences - Proceedings of the 1st MedGU, Istanbul 2021 Volume 1. Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation, Springer, pp. 265-267, 1st International conference on Mediterranean Geosciences Union, MedGU 2021, Istanbul, Turkey, 25/11/21. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-43169-2_56

Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh). / Tahsin, Nazwa; Murshed, Sonia Binte.
Recent Research on Hydrogeology, Geoecology and Atmospheric Sciences - Proceedings of the 1st MedGU, Istanbul 2021 Volume 1. ed. / Haroun Chenchouni; Helder I. Chaminé; Zhihua Zhang; Nabil Khelifi; Attila Ciner; Imran Ali; Mingjie Chen. Springer, 2023. p. 265-267 (Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference paper › Academic › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - Forecasting Climatic Stress on Water Security for Different Emission Scenarios in Dhaka (Bangladesh)

AU - Tahsin, Nazwa

AU - Murshed, Sonia Binte

PY - 2023/11/19

Y1 - 2023/11/19

N2 - Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, is considered the most vulnerable megacity to climate change in Asia. Water security is an existing challenge that will likely be exacerbated by climate change. Hence, it is necessary to understand the climate stressors and how they will affect water security to ensure proper water management in the future. In this study, we considered assessing the city’s future scenarios for 2021 to 2100. We identified the climatic indicators that significantly impacted water security and projected them for RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 to determine future climatic stress on water security for moderate and extreme climate change. First, statistical assessments were conducted to understand their impact on the city’s future of water security. Later, unbiased, standardized scoring was done to determine whether any significant difference could be estimated for the overall difference in the climate change scenarios. Our analysis found that although most of the indicators demonstrated higher risks in the future for RCP 8.5, the scores were not significantly different for the two scenarios. Overall, in both scenarios, Dhaka is shown to have a significant threat of water insecurity due to climatic stress. With each passing time, climate change will potentially pose more substantial negative impacts on the city’s water security. The insight provided by this study is essential and must be considered for the future water management of the city to ensure its livability and continued progress.

AB - Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, is considered the most vulnerable megacity to climate change in Asia. Water security is an existing challenge that will likely be exacerbated by climate change. Hence, it is necessary to understand the climate stressors and how they will affect water security to ensure proper water management in the future. In this study, we considered assessing the city’s future scenarios for 2021 to 2100. We identified the climatic indicators that significantly impacted water security and projected them for RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 to determine future climatic stress on water security for moderate and extreme climate change. First, statistical assessments were conducted to understand their impact on the city’s future of water security. Later, unbiased, standardized scoring was done to determine whether any significant difference could be estimated for the overall difference in the climate change scenarios. Our analysis found that although most of the indicators demonstrated higher risks in the future for RCP 8.5, the scores were not significantly different for the two scenarios. Overall, in both scenarios, Dhaka is shown to have a significant threat of water insecurity due to climatic stress. With each passing time, climate change will potentially pose more substantial negative impacts on the city’s water security. The insight provided by this study is essential and must be considered for the future water management of the city to ensure its livability and continued progress.

KW - Climate change

KW - Climate stressors

KW - Dhaka

KW - RCPs

KW - Water security

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-43169-2_56

DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-43169-2_56

M3 - Conference paper

AN - SCOPUS:85178501883

SN - 9783031431685

T3 - Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation

SP - 265

EP - 267

BT - Recent Research on Hydrogeology, Geoecology and Atmospheric Sciences - Proceedings of the 1st MedGU, Istanbul 2021 Volume 1

A2 - Chenchouni, Haroun

A2 - Chaminé, Helder I.

A2 - Zhang, Zhihua

A2 - Khelifi, Nabil

A2 - Ciner, Attila

A2 - Ali, Imran

A2 - Chen, Mingjie

PB - Springer

T2 - 1st International conference on Mediterranean Geosciences Union, MedGU 2021

Y2 - 25 November 2021 through 28 November 2021

ER -